The Boston Celtics welcome the Philadelphia 76ers to TD Garden for an Atlantic Division game on Wednesday. Boston is 11-10 this season and 4-2 in the last six games. Philadelphia is also 11-10 in 2021-22, though the 76ers have lost three of the last five contests. Jaylen Brown (reconditioning) is questionable to play for the Celtics. Ben Simmons (personal) and Grant Riller (shoulder) remain out for the 76ers.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Boston. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Celtics as 4.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 210 in the latest 76ers vs. Celtics odds. Before you make any 76ers vs. Celtics picks and NBA predictions, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $1,500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 117-77 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- 76ers vs. Celtics spread: Celtics -4.5
- 76ers vs. Celtics over-under: 210 points
- 76ers vs. Celtics money line: BOS -190, PHI +160
- Philadelphia: The 76ers are 10-11 against the spread in the last 21 games
- Boston: The Celtics are 11-9-1 against the spread this season
What the 76ers can cover
Philadelphia’s offense is impressive in its efficiency, and the 76ers have been even better when the roster is approaching full strength. Philadelphia is scoring more than 1.1 points per possession this season, shooting nearly 46 percent from the floor and 36 percent from three-point distance. The 76ers also make gains in ball security, committing only 12.6 turnovers per game, and Philadelphia doesn’t beat itself at the free throw line in making 81.7 percent of attempts.
Boston is a bottom-five team in free throw prevention, and that could swing things to Philadelphia on the margins. On the opposite side, the 76ers are above-average in free throw prevention, and well above-average in blocked shots (5.9 per game) and steals (8.1 per game). Boston is also just 25th in the NBA in shooting efficiency this season.
Why the Celtics can cover
Boston’s defense is tremendous this season, as it has held three of the last four opponents under 100 points. Boston is currently in the top seven of the NBA in free throw creation, averaging 21.2 attempts per game, and the Celtics are making 81.6 percent of those attempts. The 76ers are also a strongly below-average team in defensive rebound rate (71.3 percent), opening things up for Boston on the offensive glass. From there, the Celtics are keeping opponents to just 1.05 points per possession for the season on defense, and Boston is limiting the opposition to 43.5 percent shooting and 21.5 assists per game.
The Celtics have a major edge on the defensive glass as well, securing 74.7 percent of all misses while Philadelphia is grabbing only 24.4 percent of its own missed shots. Opponents are producing only 11.4 second-chance points per game against the Celtics, and Boston is also elite in transition and in keeping opponents out of the paint.
How to make Sixers vs. Celtics picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with 13 players projected to score at least eight points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s Celtics vs. 76ers pick at SportsLine.
So who wins 76ers vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Celtics vs. Sixers spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.