Friday, May 20 2022

The Boston Celtics welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to town for an Eastern Conference tilt on Monday evening. Boston (13-14) will seek a streak-busting loss after three consecutive defeats. Milwaukee is 18-10 following 12 wins in the last 14 games. Josh Richardson (protocols) and Bruno Fernando (back) are out for Boston, with Marcus Smart (illness) listed as probable. Brook Lopez (back) remains sidelined for the Bucks. The Celtics are expected to welcome Jaylen Brown back to the lineup after a five-game absence due to a hamstring injury. 

Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston as the 1.5-point favorite for this 7:30 p.m. ET tipoff. The over-under for total points is set at 217.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Celtics odds. Before making any Celtics vs. Bucks picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Celtics and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Celtics vs. Bucks:

  • Bucks vs. Celtics spread: Celtics -1.5
  • Bucks vs. Celtics over-under: 217.5 points
  • Bucks vs. Celtics money line: Celtics -125, Bucks +105
  • MIL: The Bucks are 1-3 against the spread with no days rest this season
  • BOS: The Celtics are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 home games
Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston’s defense is performing at a high level in 2021-22, and that resistance provides a strong baseline for the Celtics. Ime Udoka’s team is allowing only 1.07 points per possession, a very encouraging figure, and opponents are shooting just 44.3 percent from the field against Boston. The Celtics are in the top five of the NBA in assists allowed (21.8 per game), with top-eight marks in defensive rebound rate (73.8 percent) and second-chance points allowed (12.0 per game). 

Boston is also in the top 10 in fast-break points allowed (11.3 per game) and points allowed in the paint (43.7 per game), with above-average metrics in turnovers created (14.2 per game), steals (7.5 per game) and blocked shots (5.5 per game). Milwaukee is below-average on the offensive side in categories like free-throw accuracy, points in the paint and turnover prevention, and Boston also has a rest advantage as Milwaukee enters on the second night of a back-to-back set. 

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee is on a roll right now, posting a 12-2 record in the last 14 games. Over that sample, the Bucks are out-scoring opponents by more than 10 points per 100 possessions, and Milwaukee is elite on both ends. The Bucks are scoring more than 110 points per 100 possessions, with opponents scoring only 106.3 points per 100 possessions on the opposite end. The Bucks are also in the top 10 of the NBA in rebounding and shooting efficiency, with a roster that is well-suited to defending Boston.

Opponents are shooting only 43.5 percent from the floor against Milwaukee this season, a top-five mark in the NBA, and that makes life difficult on any opposition. Finally, the Bucks are in the top six of the league in both free-throw creation (21.6 attempts per game) and free-throw prevention (18.5 attempts per game), and that helps Milwaukee win on the margins. 

How to make Celtics vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 220 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.



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