Tuesday, September 27 2022

Top-tier Eastern Conference teams square off at Fiserv Forum on Thursday evening. The Milwaukee Bucks welcome the Boston Celtics to town for a spotlight clash, with Boston entering on the second night of a back-to-back. Boston’s injury report is unsettled as a result, with Milwaukee listing Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) as probable and Grayson Allen (hip) as doubtful. The Bucks are 49-30 overall and 26-14 in home games this season. 

Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as the six-point favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 228 in the latest Bucks vs. Celtics odds. Before making any Celtics vs. Bucks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 25 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 84-54 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Bucks, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -6
  • Celtics vs. Bucks over-under: 228 points 
  • Celtics vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -250, Celtics +205
  • BOS: The Celtics are 6-7-1 against the spread with no rest 
  • MIL: The Bucks are 16-24 against the spread in home games
Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston is out-scoring opponents by more than 14 points per 100 possessions since late January, showcasing an elite profile on both ends. The Celtics are above-average in 3-point shooting, 2-point shooting, and free-throw shooting on offense, and Boston is well-rounded with multiple creators. The Bucks are near the bottom of the NBA in turnover creation, 3-point prevention, assist prevention, and blocked shots on defense, giving the Celtics a path to success. 

On the opposite end, Boston is the league’s best defensive team, yielding only 1.06 points per possession. The Celtics also lead the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, assists allowed and 2-point percentage allowed. Boston is also in the top five of the league in 3-point defense, blocked shots, second-chance points allowed and points allowed in the paint. Boston is also in the top 10 of the NBA in free-throw prevention, which is key against Milwaukee.

Why the Bucks can cover

While Boston’s defense is top-shelf, the Bucks are difficult for any team to slow, much less stop. Milwaukee is soundly in the top five of the NBA on offense, scoring 114.1 points per 100 possessions. The Bucks take care of the ball, committing only 13.5 turnovers per game, and Milwaukee is in the top eight of the NBA in 3-point accuracy (36.6 percent), 2-point accuracy (54.4 percent) and 3-pointers per game (14.1). The Bucks are also in the top 10 in free-throw creation, generating 22.8 attempts per game to boost efficiency. 

On the defensive side, Milwaukee’s upside is clear after a title-winning run in 2021. The Bucks are No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rebound rate, securing nearly 75 percent of available rebounds, and Milwaukee is in the top five of the NBA in points allowed in the paint (43.6 per game) and fast-break points allowed (11.3 per game). Milwaukee is also strong in contesting shots without fouling, as opponents are taking fewer than 20 free-throw attempts and converting only 45.6 percent of field-goal attempts against the Bucks.

How to make Celtics vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Bucks vs. Celtics pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Bucks spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

Source: CBSSports.com


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