The Miami Heat will take on the Boston Celtics at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday at FTX Arena. Miami is 6-1 overall and 3-0 at home, while Boston is 3-5 overall and 3-2 on the road. The Heat won two of three meetings between these teams last season.
Miami is favored by six points in the latest Heat vs. Celtics odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 214.5. Before entering any Celtics vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters Week 3 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 106-71 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Heat vs. Celtics spread: Heat -6
- Heat vs. Celtics over-under: 214.5 points
What you need to know about the Heat
The Heat strolled past the Dallas Mavericks with points to spare on Tuesday, taking the contest 125-110. Small forward Jimmy Butler and point guard Kyle Lowry were among the main playmakers for Miami as the former had 23 points, six assists and six boards while the latter shot 6-for-9 from beyond the arc and finished with 22 points, nine dimes and five rebounds.
Miami has raced out to the league’s best record due to its work on both ends of the floor. It leads the NBA both in points per game (115.6) and points allowed per game (98.9). Butler is leading the efforts on offense and defense as his 25 PPG ranks 10th in the NBA while his 2.9 steals per game ranks second.
What you need to know about the Celtics
Meanwhile, Boston beat the Orlando Magic on Wednesday 92-79 on the road. From the second to the third quarters, Boston went on a run where it scored 21 consecutive points. Celtics’ small forward Jaylen Brown had 28 points in addition to five rebounds.
Boston has struggled on the defensive end as its 114.6 points allowed per game is the second-worst mark in the league. A big reason for that is because the Celtics keep sending their opponents to the charity stripe as Boston has committed the most fouls and its opponents have shot the most free throws. However, the Celtics are doing a good job of protecting the paint as they lead the NBA with 7.6 blocked shots per game.
How to make Heat vs. Celtics picks
The model is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that’s crushed its NBA picks.