The Miami Heat will take on the Denver Nuggets at 9 p.m. ET on Monday at Ball Arena. Denver is 5-4 overall and 3-1 at home, while the Heat are 7-2 overall and 3-1 on the road. The Nuggets have dominated this series in recent years, winning seven of their last 10 meetings against Miami.
Miami is favored by two-points in the latest Nuggets vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 206.5. Before entering any Heat vs. Nuggets picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters Week 3 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 106-71 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Nuggets vs. Heat spread: Heat -2
- Nuggets vs. Heat over-under: 206.5 points
What you need to know about the Nuggets
The Nuggets escaped with a win on Saturday against the Houston Rockets by the margin of a single free throw, 95-94. It was another big night for Denver’s center Nikola Jokic, who dropped a double-double with 28 points and 14 boards. For the season, Jokic is averaging 25.4 points, 13.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game.
Denver has had tremendous success against Miami at home. In fact, the Nuggets have won four of their last five home games against the Heat. However, the Nuggets are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games played in November.
What you need to know about the Heat
Speaking of close games: the Heat narrowly escaped with a victory as the squad sidled past the Utah Jazz 118-115. Miami can attribute much of its success to point guard Kyle Lowry, who posted a triple-double with 20 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists. Forward Jimmy Butler also had a big day against the Jazz, recording 27 points, six assists and three rebounds.
The Heat enter Monday’s matchup averaging 111.7 points per game, the fifth-best mark in the NBA. In addition to an efficient offense, Miami features one of the league’s stingiest defenses, giving up just 100.2 points per game.
How to make Heat vs. Nuggets picks
The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Nuggets vs. Heat? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.