The New Orleans Pelicans will take on the Miami Heat at 7:30 p.m. ET Wednesday at FTX Arena. Miami is 9-5 overall and 4-1 at home, while the Pelicans are 2-13 overall and 1-7 on the road. The Heat won both meetings between these teams last season.
Miami is favored by eight points in the latest Heat vs. Pelicans odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 213. Before entering any Pelicans vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 113-75 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Heat vs. Pelicans spread: Heat -8
- Heat vs. Pelicans over-under: 213 points
What you need to know about the Heat
It was all tied up 43-43 at the half for the Heat and the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday, but Miami stepped up in the second half for a 103-90 victory. Miami’s guard Tyler Herro filled up the stat sheet, shooting 5-for-8 from downtown and finishing with 26 points, six assists and seven boards. Duncan Robinson added 21 points including five made three-pointers.
Miami’s best two players are questionable on Wednesday as Jimmy Butler is dealing with an ankle sprain while Bam Adebayo has a knee bruise. If one or both can’t suit up, then more will be asked of players like Herro, Robinson and new addition Kyle Lowry. The longtime Raptor is struggling in his first year in Miami as his 12.7 points per game is his lowest since the 2009-10 season.
What you need to know about the Pelicans
Meanwhile, New Orleans was within striking distance but couldn’t close the gap on Monday as it fell 105-100 to the Washington Wizards. New Orleans was up 58-41 at the end of the half but couldn’t hold on to the lead. A silver lining for it was the play of small forward Brandon Ingram, who had 31 points along with five rebounds.
Zion Williamson (foot) remains out for New Orleans, but otherwise, the Pelicans will field a healthy team. But the Pelicans have struggled on both ends of the court as they rank 26th in both points scored and points allowed. One bright spot has been the play of Jonas Valanciunas as the big man is averaging 19.4 points and 13.2 rebounds in his first year in New Orleans.
How to make Pelicans vs. Heat picks
The model has simulated Heat vs. Pelicans 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Pelicans vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Pelicans spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.