The San Antonio Spurs will take on the Miami Heat at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday at the AT&T Center. San Antonio is 19-33 overall and 10-17 at home, while Miami is 32-20 overall and 14-14 on the road. The Heat are riding a three-game losing streak coming into this game.
Miami is favored by 4.5 points in the latest Spurs vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 221. Before entering any Heat vs. Spurs picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 62-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,500. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Spurs vs. Heat spread: Heat -4.5
- Spurs vs. Heat over-under: 221 points
What you need to know about the Spurs
San Antonio will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing loss, as it gave away a 17-point, third-quarter lead against Golden State on Tuesday. The Warriors were without several star players, but they scored 28 second-chance points in the win. Dejounte Murray led the way for San Antonio in the loss, scoring 27 points. Murray (wrist) is questionable for this one.
The Spurs have now blown double-digit fourth-quarter leads in their last two games. They are 7-17 this season in games they have been leading or trailing by five points or fewer entering the final five minutes. San Antonio has won nine of its last 12 home games against Miami.
What you need to know about the Heat
Miami will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak on Thursday night. The Heat are coming off a 110-106 loss to Toronto on Tuesday, giving them their second three-game losing skid of the season. They are in the middle of a six-game road trip that is off to an 0-2 start.
Center Bam Adebayo was a bright spot in the loss to the Raptors, scoring a season-high 32 points and grabbing 11 rebounds. Jimmy Butler and P.J. Tucker both returned to the court after sitting out of Monday’s loss at Boston. Guard Kyle Lowry has missed nine straight games due to personal reasons, but he is expected to return on Thursday night.
How to make Spurs vs. Heat picks
The model is leaning over on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Spurs? And which side covers well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.