Sunday, April 14 2024

We’ve got another exciting Southwest Division matchup on the Friday’s NBA schedule as the Dallas Mavericks and the Memphis Grizzlies are set to meet. The Mavericks are 11-6 overall and 5-2 at home, while the Grizzlies are 4-13 overall and 3-5 on the road. Dallas defeated Memphis, 125-110, on October 30 in their first matchup of this season. Luka Doncic (personal) has been ruled out for Dallas. 

Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavs are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds, according to SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 226 points. Before entering any Mavericks vs. Grizzlies picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023-24 NBA season on an 86-50 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Grizzlies:

  • Mavericks vs. Grizzlies spread: Mavericks -6.5
  • Mavericks vs. Grizzlies over/under: 226 points
  • Mavericks vs. Grizzlies money line: Mavericks -265, Grizzlies: +214
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 3-1 in their last four games against Dallas
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 2-1 ATS over their last three games
  • Mavericks vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Grizzlies

The Grizzlies are coming off a 105-91 win over the Jazz, snapping a four-game losing streak. Derrick Rose, now 35 years old, was facilitating like during his prime years with the Bulls on Wednesday with nine assists compared to one turnover. He added 14 points on 7 of 11 shooting and Desmond Bane had 17 points, seven rebounds and nine assists.

The Mavericks have star power but the Grizzlies have balance. Memphis had five players score at least 14 points on Friday, whereas the key to guarding Dallas now comes down to slowing Kyrie Irving with Doncic out. Memphis’ versatility makes the Grizzlies a difficult team to gameplan against, which could favor the Grizzlies to cover the spread on Friday, despite being shorthanded with Marcus Smart (foot) out. See which team to pick here.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

That Dallas tandem was at its best on Tuesday as Doncic and Irving combined for 68 points in a 121-115 victory over the Rockets. Doncic had 41 points, nine rebounds and nine assists with no turnovers as he’s averaging 31.2 points per game over his last five contests, so he’ll certainly be missed in this one. 

The Mavs play in their second contest of a four-game homestand and covered the spread in their recent victory over the Rockets in Dallas. The Grizzlies are 6-11 ATS this season, one of only three teams with six wins or fewer ATS, and they’ve failed to cover the number in three of their last four games. The Grizzlies have struggled to score without Ja Morant (suspension) and are averaging 105.6 PPG, the second-fewest in the NBA. Conversely, Dallas in the fifth-best scoring offense, including No. 1 in the Western Conference, at 119.5 PPG, though its without Doncic, while third-leading scorer Tim Hardaway Jr. (back) is questionable. See which team to pick here.

How to make Mavericks vs. Grizzlies picks

The model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Mavs 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavs vs. Grizzlies, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model on an 86-50 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, and find out. 



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