The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets square off in a Western Conference showdown on Friday night. The Mavericks are coming off a 104-99 victory over the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. The Nuggets, meanwhile, suffered a 122-110 setback against the Utah Jazz on Tuesday. Nikola Jokic, the reigning NBA MVP, suffered a bruised right knee against the Jazz and is questionable for Friday’s contest.
Tip-off from Denver is set for 10 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Denver as two-point home favorites, while the over-under is set at 215.5 in the latest Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds. Before you make any Nuggets vs. Mavericks picks and NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters Week 2 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 103-68 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Nuggets and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s NBA picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nuggets vs. Mavericks:
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets spread: Nuggets -2
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets over-under: 215.5 points
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets money line: Nuggets -135, Mavericks +115
- DAL: The Mavericks are 6-1 against the spread in their previous seven road games against the Nuggets
- DEN: The Nuggets are 16-6 straight up in their last 22 home games
Why the Nuggets can cover
Dallas boasts a 3-1 record but hasn’t done a good job covering. The Mavericks are just 1-3 against the spread overall and 1-1 against the number on the road. Denver, meanwhile, has won each of its last nine game against an opponent from the Southwest Division.
The Nuggets enter Friday’s matchup averaging just 102.3 points per game this season. However, Denver is knocking down 48.8 percent of its field goals, the best mark in the NBA. Forward Will Barton is having a strong start to the season, averaging 16.3 points per game. Aaron Gordon is also off to a fast start, recording 13 points and 7.3 rebounds per contest.
Why the Mavericks can cover
The Mavericks have won four of their last six meetings against the Nuggets. Luka Doncic continues to shine on offense, averaging 24.0 points, 9.2 rebounds and 7.8 assists per game. In Dallas’ victory over the Spurs on Thursday, Doncic finished with 25 points, five assists and three rebounds. Maxi Kleber stuffed the stat sheet off the bench, recording a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds.
The Mavericks are averaging just 102.3 points per game on offense, but they feature one of the league’s stingiest defenses. In fact, Dallas is giving up 103.3 points per contest, the eighth-best mark in the NBA. Plus, the Mavericks have been stellar on the road, winning 13 of their last 19 road games dating back to last season.
How to make Nuggets vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting these two teams combine for 223 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Nuggets vs. Mavericks spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.