The Houston Rockets will visit the Dallas Mavericks in a 2023 NBA In-Season Tournament matchup on Tuesday. Dallas is 10-6 overall and 4-2 at home, while Houston is 8-6 overall and 0-5 on the road. The Mavs have won seven of the last eight meetings but are just 1-2 in Group B play and have already been eliminated from advancing. Meanwhile, Houston is 2-1 in the NBA In-Season Tournament 2023 standings, trailing only New Orleans (3-1).
Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavs are favored by 3.5 points in the latest Rockets vs. Mavericks odds, per SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 228.5 points. Before entering any Mavericks vs. Rockets picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023-24 NBA season on an 86-50 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Mavericks vs. Rockets spread: Mavericks -3.5
- Mavericks vs. Rockets over/under: 228.5 points
- Mavericks vs. Rockets money line: Mavericks: -169, Rockets: +143
- Mavericks vs. Rockets picks: See picks at SportsLine
What you need to know about the Rockets
Even though the Rockets have not done well against the Nuggets recently (they were 2-8 in their previous 10 matchups), they didn’t let the past get in their way on Friday. Houston strolled past Denver with points to spare, taking the game 105-86. The win made it back-to-back wins for the Rockets.
Multiple players turned in solid performances to lead Houston to victory, but perhaps none more so than Fred VanVleet, who dropped a double-double on 17 points and 11 assists. VanVleet is averaging 16.6 points and 9.0 assists in his first season in Houston, while center Alperen Sengun is making a case for an All-Star appearance with 20.2 points, 9.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. However, Houston is the only team that hasn’t won on the road this season (0-5), as the team is giving up 16.2 more points per game on the road than at home. See which team to pick here.
What you need to know about the Mavericks
Meanwhile, things could have been worse for Dallas, but it could have been a whole lot better as it took a 107-88 loss to the Clippers on Saturday. Luka Doncic (30 points) and Kyrie Irving (26) combined for 56 points, but the rest of the team combined for just 32 total points.
Despite that showing, Dallas has been top-tier offensively, leading the NBA with 16.2 made 3-pointers per game while committing the fewest turnovers per night. However, the Mavs rank in the bottom 10 in both defensive rating and points allowed per game. Rookie Dereck Lively II has been one of the few bright spots on that end of the court, averaging 7.6 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per game, but he is questionable with a back contusion. See which team to pick here.
How to make Mavericks vs. Rockets picks
The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Rockets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Rockets vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that finished last year on an 86-50 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.