NBA Playoff Picture: West’s 5-9 seeds up for grabs; Nuggets, Grizzlies, Kings, Suns locked in at 1-4

Below is a comprehensive snapshot of where things stand in the Western Conference playoff and play-in with two days remaining in the regular season. 

Reminder on how the play-in tournament works: No. 7 plays No. 8 and No. 9 plays No. 10. The winner of the 7-8 game gets the No. 7 seed, while the loser plays the winner of the 9-10 game for the  No. 8 seed. 

NOTE: Our SportsLine model, developed by predictive data engineer Stephen Oh, simulates the entire season 10,000 times to produce the most unbiased and precise projections imaginable.

WESTERN CONFERENCE

• 🔒Locked in as No. 1 seed
• Current first-round matchup: TBD

• 🔒Locked in as No. 2 seed
• Current first-round matchup: vs. Lakers-Pelicans play-in winner

• 🔒Locked in as No. 3 seed
• Current first-round matchup: vs. Clippers

• 🔒Locked in as No. 4 seed
• Current first-round matchup: vs. Warriors

5. Golden State Warriors (43-38)

• 🔒Clinched play-in spot
• Remaining schedule: at Blazers
• Current first-round matchup: at Suns
• Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Clippers lead via division win percentage
• Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Lakers clinched
• Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Warriors lead via conference win percentage

6. Los Angeles Clippers (42-38)

• 🔒Clinched play-in spot
• Remaining schedule: vs. Blazers, at Suns
• Current first-round matchup: at Kings
• Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Clippers lead via division win percentage
• Tiebreaker vs. Minnesota: Wolves clinched 
• Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Pelicans clinched
• Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Clippers clinched

PLAY-IN TOURNAMENT

7. Los Angeles Lakers (42-39)

• 🔒Clinched play-in spot
• Remaining schedule: vs. Jazz
• Current first-round matchup: vs. Pelicans (play-in)
• Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Clippers clinched
• Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Lakers clinched
• Tiebreaker vs. Minnesota: Wolves clinched
• Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Lakers clinched

8. New Orleans Pelicans (42-39)

• 🔒Clinched play-in spot
• Remaining schedule: at Timberwolves
• Current first-round matchup: at Lakers (play-in)
• Tiebreaker vs. Golden State: Warriors lead via conference win percentage
• Tiebreaker vs. Minnesota: Tied 1-1 with one to play
• Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Lakers clinched
• Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Pelicans clinched

9. Minnesota Timberwolves (40-40)

• 🔒Clinched play-in spot
  
• Remaining schedule: at Spurs, vs. Pelicans
• Current first-round matchup: vs. Thunder (play-in)
• Tiebreaker vs. Clippers: Wolves clinched
• Tiebreaker vs. New Orleans: Tied 1-1 with one to play
• Tiebreaker vs. Lakers: Wolves clinched

• 🔒Locked in as No. 10 seed
• Current first-round matchup: at Timberwolves (play-in)