The Chase Center hosts a marquee matchup on Saturday evening in San Francisco. James Harden and the Brooklyn Nets visit Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors, with both teams in championship contention this season. The Nets are 29-19 overall and 17-6 on the road. The Warriors are 36-13 overall and 23-4 in home games. Kevin Durant (knee), Joe Harris (ankle), and Paul Millsap (personal) are out for Brooklyn. Draymond Green (back), Andre Iguodala (hip) and James Wiseman (knee) are out for Golden State, with Nemanja Bjelica (back) listed as questionable.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the eight-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 229 in the latest Nets vs. Warriors odds. Before making any Warriors vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 58-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Warriors, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Warriors vs. Nets:
- Nets vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -8
- Nets vs. Warriors over-under: 229 points
- Nets vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -330, Nets +260
- BKN: The Nets are 13-10 against the spread in road games
- GSW: The Warriors are 13-7-1 against the spread against the East
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn is lighting it up on offense this season, including a torrid stretch in recent days. The Nets are No. 6 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring 112.1 points per 100 possessions, and Brooklyn is No. 2 since Christmas, scoring 116.4 points per 100 possessions over a month-long sample. For the season, the Nets are in the top five in shooting efficiency, including the No. 1 free throw mark (82.2 percent) in the NBA and top-tier marks in field-goal percentage (47.3 percent) and 2-point percentage (54.1 percent).
Brooklyn ranks in the top 10 in assists, assist percentage, assist-to-turnover ratio and fast-break points. Golden State is No. 24 in the NBA in free-throw prevention on defense, and the Nets have clear paths to success. On the other side, Brooklyn is in the top eight of the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, 3-point percentage allowed, assists allowed and blocked shots per game. The Nets should also benefit from some shortcomings of Golden State, with the Warriors ranking No. 29 in turnovers per game and in the bottom 10 of the NBA in both free-throw creation and free-throw accuracy.
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State’s statistical profile is elite. The Warriors are out-scoring opponents by more than eight points per 100 possessions this season, the best mark in the NBA, and Golden State boasts the league’s best defense. Opponents are scoring 102.6 points per 100 possessions against the Warriors, with Golden State allowing 42.5 percent shooting from the field, 32.5 percent shooting from 3-point range and 49.8 percent shooting on 2-point attempts.
The Warriors are also in the top quartile of the NBA in assists allowed, steals, defensive rebound rate, points in the paint allowed and turnover creation. On offense, the Warriors have the best passing numbers in the NBA, assisting on 68.8 percent of field goals and averaging 27.6 assists per game. Golden State is No. 2 in the NBA in 2-point accuracy, making 55.7 percent of shots, and the Warriors are elite in transition. With the team’s turnover creation on defense and brisk pace, Golden State is in the top five of the NBA in fast-break points, averaging 14.6 per game.
How to make Warriors vs. Nets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 228 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.