Nuggets vs. Clippers prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, Jan. 5 best bets from proven model
Western Conference powers meet in Colorado on Thursday evening when the Denver Nuggets host the Los Angeles Clippers at Ball Arena. The Clippers are aiming to stop a three-game losing streak, while the Nuggets are looking to bounce back from a 124-111 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves. L.A. is 21-18 overall, with Denver entering at 24-13 overall and 14-3 at home. Jeff Green (finger) is out for the Nuggets. Paul George (hamstring) is questionable for the Clippers, with Nic Batum (ankle) ruled out.
Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET in Denver. Caesars Sportsbook lists Denver as a 5-point home favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 226 in the latest Clippers vs. Nuggets odds. Before making any Nuggets vs. Clippers picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 12 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 38-13 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning almost $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Clippers vs. Nuggets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nuggets vs. Clippers:
- Clippers vs. Nuggets spread: Nuggets -5
- Clippers vs. Nuggets over/under: 226 points
- Clippers vs. Nuggets money line: Nuggets -210, Clippers +175
- LAC: The Clippers are 11-9 against the spread in road games
- DEN: The Nuggets are 10-7 against the spread in home games
- Clippers vs. Nuggets picks: See picks here
Why the Clippers can cover
The Clippers shoot well from 3-point range, converting 37.6% from long distance. L.A. is also facing a Denver defense that is yielding 114.5 points per 100 possessions, and the Nuggets are in the bottom five of the NBA in field goal percentage allowed, 2-point percentage allowed, and assists allowed on defense.
On the other end, the Clippers are elite, giving up only 110.1 points per 100 possessions to rank in the top five of the NBA. L.A. is also in the top five in field goal percentage allowed (45.7%) and 3-point percentage allowed (34.0%), while only giving up 21.9 free throw attempts per game. Los Angeles is in the top 10 of the NBA in defensive rebound rate (73.1%) and assists allowed (24.2 per game), with the Clippers boasting quality depth and versatility to flummox opponents.
Why the Nuggets can cover
The Nuggets are led by the two-time reigning NBA MVP in Nikola Jokic. He remains one of the best players in the NBA, averaging 25.6 points and 10.8 rebounds on 61.5% shooting this season. He also ranks in the top five of the league with 9.5 assists per game, and the Nuggets are out-scoring opponents by more than 10 points per 100 possessions when Jokic is on the court in 2022-23.
Denver is No. 2 in the NBA in offensive efficiency as a team, scoring 116.6 points per 100 possessions, and the Nuggets are in the top three in overall shooting efficiency, field goal percentage, and 3-point percentage. Denver is also No. 2 in the league with 28.7 assists per game, and the Nuggets land in the top six of the NBA in points in the paint (54.8 per game) and fast break points (16.0 per game).
How to make Clippers vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, with 13 players projected to score at least nine points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Clippers vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Clippers vs. Nuggets spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.