The Memphis Grizzlies take on the Denver Nuggets at 8 p.m. ET on Monday at FedEx Forum. Denver comes into the game having just won a pair of home games against Dallas and Minnesota. Meanwhile, Memphis is looking for answers following big losses in two of its last three games after a hot start to the season.
Memphis is favored by two points in the latest Grizzlies vs. Nuggets odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 215.5. Before entering any Nuggets vs. Grizzlies picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters Week 2 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 103-68 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets spread: Grizzlies -2
- Grizzlies vs. Nuggets over-under: 215.5 points
What you need to know about the Grizzlies
Things have taken a bad turn for Memphis in recent games, as evidenced by its 129-103 defeat to the Miami Heat on Saturday. The writing was on the wall for the Grizzlies after the third quarter, when they were down by a 102-79 margin. Despite the loss, De’Anthony Melton continued his strong play in 2021, and finished the game with 20 points and five assists. Ja Morant remains the team’s top scorer, and has dropped 50 points over his last two games, but only had 17 in Memphis’ loss to Portland last Wednesday.
Regardless of whether or not the Grizzlies’ top scorers have continued to come away with big point totals, the team itself has struggled with its shooting from the field. Over the last three games, Memphis has shot just 38.4 percent as a team, which is dead last in the NBA. That may be problematic on Monday night, as Denver has had the fifth-highest average during that stretch, at 47.6 percent.
What you need to know about the Nuggets
Denver has won two of its three road games to start 2021, but has a chance to double-up against Memphis — as they play the Grizzlies again on Wednesday night as well. In the Nuggets’ win against Minnesota on Saturday, the Timberwolves didn’t have an answer for center Nikola Jokic, who posted a double-double on 26 points and 19 rebounds along with seven assists.
The Nuggets’ scoring defense has been the league’s best, and only allows just 96.8 points per game thus far in 2021. Part of that has been the Nuggets ability to shut down opponents from long range. Denver’s opponents have had the fourth-lowest 3-point shooting percentage so far this season, at 29.6 percent. Denver hasn’t been as strong of a rebounding side in its road games to start the year, but Memphis has been even worse on the boards as a home team, and has only snagged an average of 49 rebounds per game at the FedEx Forum.
How to make Grizzlies vs. Nuggets picks
The model model is leaning over on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Grizzlies vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.