The Indiana Pacers will take on the Denver Nuggets at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday at Ball Arena. Denver is 6-4 overall and 4-1 at home, while the Pacers are 4-7 overall and 1-5 on the road. Nikola Jokic will be suspended for the game after a foul by Markieff Morris prompted Jokic to run Morris over with a vicious shoulder at midcourt.
The Nuggets swept the season series last year but Jokic played in both of those games and averaged 26.0 points, 13.0 rebounds and 6.5 assists. With Jokic and Michael Porter Jr. (back) out, Indiana is favored by three points in the latest Nuggets vs. Pacers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 205.5. Before entering any Pacers vs. Nuggets picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 110-73 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Nuggets vs. Pacers spread: Nuggets +3
- Nuggets vs. Pacers over-under: 205.5 points
What you need to know about the Pacers
After consistent struggles on the road, Indiana has finally found some success away from home. The Pacers came out on top in a nail-biter against the Sacramento Kings on Sunday, sneaking past 94-91. Shooting guard Caris LeVert (22 points) was the top scorer for the Pacers.
LeVert (17.2 points per game), Domantas Sabonis (19.3 ppg), Malcolm Brogdon (22.3 ppg), Chris Duarte (16.0 ppg) and Myles Turner (14.5 ppg) give the Pacers a versatile group of players who can share the scoring load on any night. Sabonis and Turner seem likely to play a big role in the frontcourt with Jokic out on Wednesday.
What you need to know about the Nuggets
Meanwhile, the Nuggets strolled past the Miami Heat with points to spare on Monday, taking the matchup 113-96. It was another big night for Jokic, who posted a triple-double with 25 points, 15 boards, and 10 assists. However, with Jokic out of the lineup because of the suspension, the Nuggets could be hard-pressed to find scoring.
With Porter also out and Jamal Murray still recovering from an ACL tear he suffered late last season, Will Barton will likely be asked to carry the scoring load on Wednesday. Barton is averaging a career-high 16.2 points per game this season and is shooting a solid 39.7 percent from the 3-point line.
How to make Pacers vs. Nuggets picks
The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Nuggets vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.