The Houston Rockets and the Detroit Pistons face off in a nationally televised battle on Wednesday. The teams are headlined by standout rookies in Houston’s Jalen Green and Detroit’s Cade Cunningham. Cunningham and Green were the first two picks in the 2021 NBA Draft, bringing additional intrigue to the proceedings in their first professional matchup. Killian Hayes (thumb) is probable for Detroit, with Kevin Porter Jr. (thigh) listed as questionable for Houston.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Houston. The Rockets are listed as four-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 211 in the latest Pistons vs. Rockets odds. Before you make any Rockets vs. Pistons picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 110-73 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Pistons vs. Rockets and locked in its coveted NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Rockets vs. Pistons:
- Pistons vs. Rockets spread: Rockets -4
- Pistons vs. Rockets over-under: 211 points
- Pistons vs. Rockets money line: Houston -180, Detroit +155
- DET: The Pistons are 3-6 against the spread in the last nine games
- HOU: The Rockets are 5-4-1 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Pistons can cover
Detroit is off to a rough start, but the team has performed better when healthy, and the team’s shooting efficiency is due for positive regression. Beyond that, the Pistons are a top-10 team in free throw attempts, generating 21.3 per game, and that helps to boost efficiency. Houston is second-worst in the NBA in two-point shooting allowed (55.9 percent), and the Rockets are vulnerable near the rim.
On the other end, Detroit is elite in turnover creation rate (17.3 percent), with above-average marks in blocks (5.0 per game) and steals (8.9 per game). The Pistons are also above-average in second-chance points allowed (11.8 per game), fast break points allowed (11.2 per game), points allowed in the paint (41.8 per game) and defensive rebound rate (74.1 percent). Houston struggles at the free throw line, making just 70.3 percent of attempts, and the Rockets are averaging more turnovers (19.8 per game) than any team in the NBA so far this season.
Why the Rockets can cover
Houston’s defense has shown signs of life this season, and the Rockets also have a favorable matchup against Detroit’s offense. The Rockets are a top-eight team in the NBA in 3-point defense, with opponents only shooting 32.3 percent from distance. Houston is also above-average in turnover creation, forcing a giveaway on 15.0 percent of defensive possessions, and that includes 8.6 steals per game. The Rockets are very good at avoiding second-chance opportunities for opponents, giving up only 11.7 points per game off misses, and Detroit’s offense is flailing at the moment.
The Pistons are dead-last in the NBA in offensive efficiency, two-point shooting, 3-point shooting and overall shooting efficiency. Detroit also struggles to take care of the ball, committing a turnover on 15.6 percent of possessions, and that could fuel Houston’s transition offense on Wednesday.
How to make Rockets vs. Pistons picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 213 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s Pistons vs. Rockets picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Pistons vs. Rockets? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.