Tuesday’s final Western Conference matchup will feature the New Orleans Pelicans (1-6) and Phoenix Suns (2-3). Both teams are off to slow starts ahead of the matchup, but the Suns are heavily favored to come out on top at the Footprint Center. Devonte’ Graham (adductor) and Brandon Ingram (hip) are questionable for New Orleans, while Deandre Ayton (leg) is questionable for Phoenix.
Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as an 11.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 215 in the latest Pelicans vs. Suns odds. Before making any Suns vs. Pelicans picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters Week 3 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 106-71 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Pelicans and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s NBA picks. Here are several NBA odds and trends for Pelicans vs. Suns:
- Pelicans vs. Suns spread: Suns -11.5
- Pelicans vs. Suns over-under: 215 points
- Pelicans vs. Suns money line: Suns -700, Pelicans +475
- NOP: The Pelicans are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games
- PHX: The total has gone over in six of the Suns’ previous seven games against the Pelicans
Why the Pelicans can cover
New Orleans is 1-6 straight up but has a strong record (4-3) against the spread. This year, the Pelicans’ lone victory came on the road, and the Suns haven’t performed well at the Footprint Center. Phoenix is 0-3 against the spread at home and has only won once there.
The Pelicans’ post presence has taken a hit without Zion Williamson (foot), but a new team member has picked up the slack down low. Jonas Valanciunas remains one of the NBA’s premier double-double threats and averages 19.4 points and 14.6 rebounds per game. His consistent production has kept New Orleans in games. If he cleans the glass consistently and gets the Pelicans extra possessions, New Orleans will have a chance to keep this one competitive.
Why the Suns can cover
The Suns are just 1-4 against the spread overall but have all the pieces to be successful. Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Mikal Bridges, Jae Crowder, and Ayton are running it back after making a run the last year’s finals. They have plenty of chemistry and have proven to be elite together on both sides of the ball when firing on all cylinders. The Pelicans roster isn’t nearly as reliable.
The Pelicans’ backcourt took a hit defensively following the departure of Lonzo Ball, and their new guard pairing has struggled to get stops. Paul and Booker could have a major advantage. The Suns also have a stronger bench thanks to Cameron Johnson, JaVale McGee, and Elfrid Payton. New Orleans’ youth hasn’t proved to be reliable off the pine, and producing on the road could prove to be difficult for them.
How to make Pelicans vs. Suns picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 217 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.