Thursday, January 20 2022
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The Phoenix Suns will put a 10-game home winning streak on the line on Monday evening. Phoenix hosts the San Antonio Spurs in a Western Conference matchup, with the Suns entering at 19-4 overall after 18 wins in the last 19 games. The Spurs are 8-13 this season with a 4-7 mark on the road. Devin Booker (hamstring) and Frank Kaminsky (knee) are out for Phoenix, with Devin Vassell (quad) listed as questionable for San Antonio.

Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET in Phoenix. Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as the 7.5-point favorite at home, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 218.5 in the latest Spurs vs. Suns odds. Before making any Suns vs. Spurs picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $1,500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 117-77 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Spurs vs. Suns and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Spurs.

  • Suns vs. Spurs spread: Suns -7.5
  • Suns vs. Spurs over-under: 218.5 points
  • SAS: The Spurs are 6-5 against the spread in the last 11 road games
  • PHX: The Suns are 6-6 against the spread in the last 12 home games

Why the Spurs can cover

The Spurs are very good in a few key areas. San Antonio is tremendous at keeping opponents off the free-throw line, allowing only 17.6 attempts per game, and the Spurs win on the margins by creating 15.2 turnovers per game. San Antonio is sound in transition defense, allowing 10.5 fast-break points per contest, and Phoenix’s offense struggles to generate second-chance opportunities on the glass. 

Offensively, the Spurs are in the top five of the NBA in field-goal percentage (46.8 percent), and Gregg Popovich’s team passes at a high level, averaging 27.5 assists per game. San Antonio also puts pressure on the rim, averaging 54.2 points in the paint per game to rank No. 2 in the league. The Spurs round out their attack with top-five marks in second-chance points (14.7 per game) and fast- break points (15.0 per game), with San Antonio also committing only 13.0 turnovers per game in 2021-22.

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix is elite on defense, allowing only 1.04 points per possession. The Suns also have a favorable matchup against a struggling Spurs offense, and there is every reason to believe the Suns will be able to generate defensive stops. On the opposite end, Phoenix is also dynamic and effective. The Suns lead the NBA in field-goal percentage, shooting 48.0 percent for the season. 

Phoenix also ranks in the top five in 3-point shooting (37.0 percent) and assists (26.1 per game), with above-average marks in free- throw creation and free-throw accuracy. The Suns take care of the ball quite well, committing a turnover on 13.4 percent of possessions, and Phoenix is averaging 48.5 points in the paint per game. On the whole, Phoenix is scoring 110.4 points per 100 possessions this season, and that mark places the Suns in the top 10 of the league in offensive efficiency.

How to make Spurs vs. Suns picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Suns vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

Source: CBSSports.com

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