Tuesday, May 24 2022
Gerrit Cole (backwards) and Aaron Judge low five road uniforms

Gerrit Cole (backwards) and Aaron Judge low five road uniforms

The Yankees still have a lot of work to do this offseason, but the lockout projected ZiPS standings for the 2022 season have them winning the AL East.

The projections, which tend to skew conservative, have the Yanks going 90-72 — 1.0 game ahead of the 89-73 Toronto Blue Jays and 2.0 games ahead of the 88-74 Tampa Bay Rays.

The Houston Astros, projected to go 91-71 and win the AL West, are the only team in the AL projected to win more than 90 games.

Writes Szymborski about the Yanks:

The Yankees have more variance in their projection than last year. ZiPS still likes their front-end talent, but the wheels come off this cart in the simulations where injuries hit.

Elsewhere in the AL, the Chicago White Sox are projected to finish 88-74 and win the AL Central (with no other team in the division finishing .500 or better). As far as the wild card spots go, the Blue Jays and Rays are projected to get the first and second spots, respectively.

It should be noted that the playoffs are expected to expand as part of the new CBA, which would mean going from 10 playoff teams to 12 or 14.

As far as the rest of the AL East beyond the Yanks, Jays, and Rays, the projections have the Boston Red Sox going 83-79 and the Baltimore Orioles finishing 64-98.

The projections, from Dan Szymborski, will be updated when the lockout ends and player moves are made. After going through the methodology and algorithms, and taking into account depth charts, playing time projections, injury risks, and other factors, here’s how the initial projections were done:

The result is a million different rosters for each team and an associated winning percentage for each of those million teams. After applying the new strength of schedule calculations based on the other 29 teams, I end up with the standings for each of the million seasons. This is actually much less complex than it sounds.

Source: Yahoo Sports


Manchester United knocked out of FA Cup by second-tier Middlesbrough


Bulls vs. Pacers odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Feb. 4 predictions from proven computer model

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Check Also

Pro Sports Media

Trending Now

Cardinals vs. Pirates live on Peacock: How to watch, stream, start time, TV channel for MLB Sunday Leadoff game

It’s the St. Louis Cardinals vs the Pittsburgh Pirates live from PNC Park at 11:30 AM this Sunday on Peacock. 18 MLB games will be featured on the streaming service this season. Live coverage begins at 11:00 a.m ET. See below for additional information on how to watch the game. RELATED: MLB schedule 2022: Every […]

Read More

MLB odds: Best Rookie of the Year futures bets to make now

By Edward EgrosFOX Sports MLB Betting Analyst What better way to get your week started than to bet in the MLB futures markets? We’ve discussed World Series champions, MVP possibilities and Cy Young candidates. Now, let’s analyze the Rookie of the Year.    As we’ve discussed, FanGraphs WAR has been a reasonably good indicator of end-of-season awards. Rookie of the […]

Read More

Bulls vs. Wizards: Lineups, injuries, and broadcast info for Friday

The Chicago Bulls are back home to host the Washington Wizards on Friday night, and if you’re wondering how you can watch the action live, you’ve come to the right place. The Bulls (25-10) are coming off a 102-98 victory over the Orlando Magic on Monday. The Washington Wizards (19-19) are fresh off a 114-111 […]

Read More