Monday, December 4 2023

Browns at Chiefs (Saturday, 1 p.m. ET)

Cleveland coach Kevin Stefanski said he plans on playing his starters against the Chiefs. The Browns’ starters are estimated to play 20-25 plays, which is around two drives worth of action. 

That is not customary for the final preseason game, and it signals to me that the Browns want to see that group play well. There’s motivation for this group to get its job done and get off the field. 

On the other side will be the Chiefs’ backups, who will see the field for the entire game. Andy Reid had his starting offense on the field for parts of five series over two games and will not play Patrick Mahomes in this game. 

The Chiefs’ backups have performed well when given action in their two preseason games, but they haven’t played a starting unit like the Browns. I like the Browns to cover the first quarter of this game.

PICK: Browns first half (-0.5)

Seahawks at Packers (Saturday, 1 p.m. ET)

I know it’s boring, but it’s been cashing: wager on Pete Carroll in the preseason. The Seahawks coach is now 38-23 against the spread in the preseason after covering the first two games this preseason. 

Carroll is an uber-competitive coach who runs old-school practices. His players are amped for these preseason games, and it shows in the results. 

The Seahawks are playing a Packers team that has not been as successful in the preseason under Matt LaFleur. He’s 4-7 in the preseason and was on the way to 4-8 against the Patriots before the game was suspended. 

It’s worth noting, one reason the Packers might struggle in this game is their second- and third-string offenses have not scored that many second-half points — just 15 over the three-and-a-half quarters of football. I like Seattle to win and cover this game.

PICK: Seahawks (+135 moneyline) to win outright
PICK: Seahawks (+3) to lose by fewer than 3 points (or win outright)

Geoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. He played eight seasons in the NFL for five different teams. He started at right tackle for the University of Oregon for three seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 selection his senior year. Follow him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.


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