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The Boston Bruins look to avoid back-to-back defeats for the first time this season when they host the Pittsburgh Penguins in the 2023 NHL Winter Classic at Fenway Park on Monday. Boston (28-4-4), which leads the league in points, is coming off a 4-3 overtime loss to Buffalo on Saturday. The Bruins have earned at least one point in each of their first 21 home games (18-0-3) this campaign, matching the franchise record to start a season set when they began 1973-74 with 19 wins and two ties. Boston is hosting the Winter Classic for the third time overall and second at Fenway Park, where it posted a 2-1 overtime triumph over Philadelphia in 2010. Pittsburgh (19-11-6), which is 0-2-2 in its last four games, defeated host Buffalo 2-1 in a shootout in the inaugural Winter Classic in 2008.

Opening faceoff from Fenway Park in Boston is set for 2 p.m. ET. Boston is the -190 favorite (risk $190 to win $100) in the latest Bruins vs. Penguins odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total goals scored is 6. Before making any Penguins vs. Bruins picks, check out the NHL Winter Classic 2023 predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, taking into account factors like current form, individual matchups, injuries and short- and long-term trends when making NHL picks. The model seeks the best values on the money line, puck line and total.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bruins vs. Penguins. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest NHL odds from and trends for Penguins vs. Bruins: 

  • Bruins vs. Penguins money line: Boston -190, Pittsburgh +158
  • Bruins vs. Penguins over/under: 6 goals
  • Bruins vs. Penguins puck line: Boston -1.5 (+143)
  • BOS: The Bruins are 20-6 in their last 26 games against Metropolitan Division teams
  • PIT: The Penguins are 5-16 in their last 21 contests in Boston
  • Bruins vs. Penguins picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Boston Bruins vs. Pittsburgh Penguins

Why you should back the Bruins

David Pastrnak is among the league leaders in several offensive categories and is on pace to shatter the season high of 95 points he set in 2019-20. The 26-year-old Czech right wing ranks seventh in the NHL with 50 points and is tied for fifth in both total goals (25) and power-play tallies (10). Pastrnak has notched points in 13 of his last 14 games, registering 11 goals and seven assists in that span, and has been kept off the scoresheet in only five of his 36 contests this campaign.

Dating back to last season, the Bruins are riding a 25-game home point streak that began when they edged the Penguins 2-1 on Apr. 16. Boston also posted a 6-5 victory at Pittsburgh on Nov. 1, rallying from a three-goal deficit to win in overtime. A total of 13 players landed on the scoresheet for the Bruins in that triumph, with defenseman Hampus Lindholm netting the winning tally after assisting on the team’s previous three during the comeback.

Why you should back the Penguins

Evgeni Malkin registered his 1,180th career point with a goal in the loss to New Jersey. With the tally, the 36-year-old climbed into second place on the NHL’s all-time list in scoring among Russian-born players, passing Sergei Fedorov. Malkin recorded a goal and an assist against Boston in their first meeting and has 47 points in 43 career meetings with the Bruins.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 43 points and is looking to avoid his first four-game drought of the campaign. The 35-year-old captain also tallied in the November matchup with Boston, giving him 67 career points versus the Bruins – his sixth-highest total against any team. Veteran Jeff Carter has scored in back-to-back games after netting only four tallies over his first 31 contests in 2022-23.

How to make Penguins vs. Bruins picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the goal total. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bruins vs. Penguins? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on Monday all from the advanced model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times.